Fed’s Eye on Inflation

The week ended with Dow and S&P down and Nasdaq up thanks to Google. This market has been very confusing so far with market up sharply one day, the next day sharply lower and then the markets went different direction on Friday. No doubt in my mind the market participants are confused and struggled to get a handle on the strength of the economy and the inflation picture.

As the market continues to interpret some of the economic data due out this week and how they will impact the Fed’s decision on raising rate. I believe we won’t have a rally until the Fed meet next time and give the market a clear direction on what it is going to do with the interest rate. The market believe .25pt is for sure, but will the Fed raise .5pt. I think that’s what worrying the market.

Economic Data
Tues:

  • Realtors report Existing Home Sale for September on Tuesday. It is expected at 7.2 million annualized in September, down from 7.29 million in August.
  • Thurs:

  • New home sales on Thursday from commerce Department. It is expected to be 1.24 million for September up slightly from 1.237 in August.
  • Fri:

  • Estimate of GDP for the third quarter and preview of capital spending in September
  • Labor Department will report on the employment cost index for the third quarter. It is expected to be .8% for the quarter.
  • Consumer sentiment index, including inflation expection.
  • Earnings
    Mon – Texas Instruments and Arch Coal
    Tues – Amazon, Coach, Haliburton, Corning
    Wed – Amylin Pharma, Anheuser-Busch, Biogen, ConocoPhilips, Newmont Mining, Lucent, Garmin, Wellpoint
    Thurs – Aetna, Microsoft, XM Sat

    It's not when you buy. It's when you sell!

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